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| Issue Date: CSP Daily News, May 8, 2007 $3 & Counting "We're one significant refinery problem away from seeing fresh highs," analyst says |
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NEW YORK
-- Gasoline prices rose yet again at the pump Monday, but fell along
with oil in the futures market as traders bet that the government will
report an increase in gasoline inventories this week, reported the
Associated Press.
The
national average price of a gallon of gasoline reached $3.035 Monday, up
0.1 cent overnight and more than 2 cents since Friday, according to AAA
and the Oil Price Information Service. In some parts of the country,
however, gasoline was approaching $4 a gallon.
Gas
prices have risen sharply in recent weeks on concerns that refineries
aren't making enough to meet peak summer demand. The summer driving
season begins on Memorial Day weekend.
But
retail prices lag oil and gasoline futures prices. And while both
futures contracts have also risen in recent weeks, they were trading
lower Monday. Gasoline futures for
June delivery fell 2.68 cents a gallon to settle at $2.1896 on the New
York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). Light, sweet crude for June delivery
fell 46 cents a barrel to settle at $61.47 on NYMEX.
There
hasn't been any fundamental change in the oil and gasoline futures
markets, said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch & Associates,
Galena, Ill. "We're still seeing
too much crude oil sloshing around in Cushing, [Okla.]," the oil
terminal that supplies many domestic oil refineries, he told AP.
Unexpected refinery problems are a big part of the reason for the spike
in gasoline prices of recent weeks. There have been at least a dozen
additional partial shutdowns in the U.S. and internationally that cut
refining capacity.
For
instance, one of the nation's largest refineries, a BP PLC plant in
Indiana that processes more than 400,000 barrels of oil per day, will
not be operating at full capacity for several months due to unexpected
repairs. Other examples include a 170,000-barrel-per-day plant in McKee,
Texas, that was shut down for a month, and a 470,000 barrel-per-day
plant in Texas City operating at less than half of capacity.
The
refinery problems have led to an oversupply of oil, and an undersupply
of gasoline. That's pushing oil prices lower, Ritterbusch said. And
while gasoline futures prices were down Monday, that could change
quickly in a market that remains volatile, he said. "It's lower, but
just last week it was teasing new highs," he said. "You're bound to see
some profit-taking."
Jason
Schenker, an economist at Wachovia Corp., said he thinks traders are
anticipating an increase in gasoline stockpiles in the U.S. government's
weekly inventory report, to be released on Wednesday. "That gasoline
inventory expectation...could be what's driving the market down," he
told AP.
Analysts
last week suggested the market may have sensed a peak in prices for
gasoline. But Ritterbusch disagreed, arguing that there will have to be
evidence of a substantial build in gasoline inventories before prices
drop significantly.
"It's
premature to say we've seen the highs," he said. "We're one significant
refinery problem away from seeing fresh highs."
And some experts say $4-a-gallon gasoline
is just around the corner. "I think it's going to happen," Phil Flynn, a
senior market analyst at Alaron Trading, Chicago, told CNNMoney.com.
"Unless things change dramatically, I think we're going to see $4 a
gallon."
Already, prices in California average
$3.48 a gallon, according to AAA. And one service station in San
Francisco was charging $3.95, said to the report, citing GasBuddy.com.
Meanwhile, the high gasoline prices have
triggered the latest round of gasoline boycott emails. One message calls
for consumers to boycott U.S. gas stations on Tuesday, May 15:
NO GAS
on May 15th 2007
Don't
pump gas on May 15th.
In April
1997, there was a "gas out" conducted nationwide in protest of gas
prices. Gasoline prices dropped 30 cents a gallon overnight.
On May
15th 2007, all internet users are to not go to a gas station in protest
of high gas prices. Gas is now over $3.00 a gallon in most places.
There
are 73,000,000+ American members currently on the internet network, and
the average car takes about 30 to 50 dollars to fill up.
If all
users did not go to the pump on the 15th, it would take
$2,292,000,000.00 (that's almost 3 BILLION) out of the oil company's
pockets for just one day, so please do not go to the gas station on May
15th and lets try to put a dent in the Middle Eastern oil industry for
at least one day.
If
you agree (which I cant see why you wouldn't) resend this to all your
contact list. With it saying, “Don't pump gas on May 15th."
[Click here for MSNBC’s analysis of the effect—or lack thereof—such a boycott would have on the gasoline industry.] |
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